<html xmlns:v="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" xmlns:o="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" xmlns:w="urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" xmlns:m="http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40">
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=iso-8859-1">
<meta name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 15 (filtered medium)">
<!--[if !mso]><style>v\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
o\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
w\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
.shape {behavior:url(#default#VML);}
</style><![endif]--><style><!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
        {font-family:"Cambria Math";
        panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4;}
@font-face
        {font-family:Calibri;
        panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;}
@font-face
        {font-family:Aptos;}
@font-face
        {font-family:"Avenir Book";}
@font-face
        {font-family:"Century Gothic";
        panose-1:2 11 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 4;}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
        {margin:0in;
        font-size:11.0pt;
        font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;
        mso-ligatures:standardcontextual;}
a:link, span.MsoHyperlink
        {mso-style-priority:99;
        color:#467886;
        text-decoration:underline;}
span.EmailStyle18
        {mso-style-type:personal-compose;
        font-family:"Aptos",sans-serif;
        color:windowtext;}
.MsoChpDefault
        {mso-style-type:export-only;
        font-size:11.0pt;
        mso-ligatures:none;}
@page WordSection1
        {size:8.5in 11.0in;
        margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;}
div.WordSection1
        {page:WordSection1;}
--></style><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapedefaults v:ext="edit" spidmax="1026" />
</xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
<o:shapelayout v:ext="edit">
<o:idmap v:ext="edit" data="1" />
</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]-->
</head>
<body lang="EN-US" link="#467886" vlink="#96607D" style="word-wrap:break-word">
<div class="WordSection1">
<table class="MsoNormalTable" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%" style="width:100.0%;border-collapse:collapse;border:none">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="463" valign="top" style="width:347.4pt;border-top:solid windowtext 2.25pt;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 2.25pt;border-right:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt">
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt">Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.5pt">Biology Department Seminar<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt">Thursday, August 22, 2024 &#8211; 12:00 Noon<o:p></o:p></span></p>
</td>
<td width="127" style="width:95.4pt;border-top:solid windowtext 2.25pt;border-left:none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 2.25pt;border-right:none;padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt">
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.5pt">Hal Caswell<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt">Emeritus Research Scholar, WHOI<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.5pt">One of These Things is Not Like the Other: Untangling the Roles of Heterogeneity, Inequality, and Chance in Demographic Outcomes<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt">Let's think about demographic outcomes, especially in things like longevity, health, and lifetime reproduction. These outcomes vary among individuals. Understanding that variation is a challenge for evolutionary
 biology (where it might just provide the raw material for natural selection), human demography (where it might be a form of social inequality) and public health (where it might inform health care policies). Some of the variance is due to actual differences
 among individuals, differences that mean they experience different rates of survival, reproduction, and growth. Let's call that heterogeneity. Some of the variance is due to chance; let's sound sophisticated and call that stochasticity. We are confronted with
 a challenge:&nbsp; how to partition variance into the contributions of heterogeneity and stochasticity. I will show some results of these calculations. Some of them may be surprising.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt">HYBRID!<b> In Person</b>: Redfield Auditorium
<b>Zoom:</b> <a href="https://whoi-edu.zoom.us/j/97000865816">https://whoi-edu.zoom.us/j/97000865816</a> Meeting ID: 970 0086 5816
<b>By phone</b>: Find your local number: <a href="https://whoi-edu.zoom.us/u/adIvMow3LQ">
https://whoi-edu.zoom.us/u/adIvMow3LQ</a> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.5pt">For questions, contact:<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:&quot;Century Gothic&quot;,sans-serif;color:#4472C4">Ana María Vélez</span></b><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:&quot;Century Gothic&quot;,sans-serif;color:black"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:&quot;Century Gothic&quot;,sans-serif;color:black">Administrative Associate<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:9.0pt;font-family:&quot;Century Gothic&quot;,sans-serif;color:black">Ph: (+1)(508)289-2334<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:&quot;Avenir Book&quot;;color:black;mso-ligatures:none"><img border="0" width="304" height="20" style="width:3.1666in;height:.2083in" id="Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:image001.png@01DAE735.C691FC70" alt="signature_1005462319"></span><span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:&quot;Calibri&quot;,sans-serif;color:black"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
</div>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>
</div>
</body>
</html>